Statistics

The Foundation

models, predictions, tests, metrics. This section covers the core concepts: probability, distributions, hypothesis testing, and measures of spread and center. If something feels like magic later on, the explanation is probably here.

Bayes' Theorem

intermediate

How to update what you believe when you get new evidence.

Central Limit Theorem

intermediate

No matter what your data looks like, averages tend to behave normally.

Conditional Probability

beginner

How does knowing one thing change the probability of another?

Correlation vs Causation

beginner

Two things moving together does not mean one is causing the other.

Hypothesis Testing

beginner

Is this result real, or did it happen by chance?

Mean vs Median vs Mode

beginner

Three ways to describe the center of your data — and why they disagree.

Normal Distribution

beginner

The bell curve — why so much data naturally clusters around the middle.

Outliers

beginner

The data points that don't fit — and why they're either your biggest problem or your most important signal.

P-Value & Confidence Intervals

intermediate

Two ways to express how certain you are about a result — and how often they get misread.

Probability Basics

beginner

The language of uncertainty — how likely is something to happen?

Sampling & Bias

beginner

Your data is only as good as how you collected it.

Variance & Standard Deviation

beginner

How spread out is your data? Two numbers that measure the same thing — in different units.

Chirp at me!